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MCU poker tip: Poker’s mathematical myth

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In poker, knowing exact odds doesn’t matter much. And being able to calculate complex probabilities in the heat of poker combat won’t add much to your profit.

Despite this, I’m obsessed with statistics, having calculated complex charts on poker. You don’t need to do this time-consuming math to excel. My stats serve mostly to satisfy curiosity.

Sure, you need a good grasp of how often hands will occur and how likely they are to improve. But precision beyond that has only mild benefit.

(Tip continues below…)

Visit these more detailed Poker1 entries on this topic:

→ The myth of poker math and key hold ’em odds

→ Lies told about psychology in poker

When it’s your turn to act, you have only seconds to decide. If you concentrate too hard on getting odds exact, you’ll be wasting time you could use to make more important decisions regarding tells and tendencies of opponents.

Yes, you need to know approximately how strong hands are, and you need to gauge your prospects reasonably. But the notion that you must make lightning-fast calculations under pressure is a poker myth. — MC

Brunson: Be patient when you teach poker
Entries by others, Tips
Favorite poker tips revisited: Part 1
General, Psychology, Tips
Favorite poker tips revisited: Part 2
General, Manipulation, Motivation, Tips
Games you can beat update and two tips
Gambling, General, Other games, POKER1 EXTRA, Strategy, Tips
Important poker tips thoroughly shuffled
POKER, Psychology, Strategy, Tips
McHaffie: MCU lesson 074 / Poker tips
Entries by others, General, Manipulation, Tells, Tips
MCU poker tip: A check can cost money
ALL (newest first), General, POKER, Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: A good time to bluff
ALL (newest first), General, Manipulation, POKER, Strategy, Tells, Tips
MCU poker tip: A quick bluff is more likely to succeed
ALL (newest first), General, Manipulation, POKER, Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: Adjusting to wins and losses
ALL (newest first), General, POKER, Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: Aggression in the blinds
ALL (newest first), General, POKER, Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: All-in, late in a no-limit tournament
Hold 'em, Manipulation, Strategy, Tips, Tournaments
MCU poker tip: Always be pleasant to play against
ALL (newest first), POKER, Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: Are kings almost as profitable as aces?
The profit gap between these two hold 'em starting hands isn't what most players think
ALL (newest first), Hold 'em, POKER, Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: Ask opponents for their opinions
ALL (newest first), General, Manipulation, POKER, Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: Babble and bluffing
Tells, Tips
MCU poker tip: Bad news for hold ’em small pairs
Hold 'em, Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: Best-game shopping in poker
ALL (newest first), Strategy, Tips
MCU poker tip: Betting a flush draw on the flop
ALL (newest first), Hold 'em, Manipulation, Tips
MCU poker tip: Betting correctly into aggressive foes
General, Tips
1 2 3 7

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Poker statistics  •  Poker strategy  •  Poker tells

Prediction*  •  Shopping  •  Zone 2*

↓ Tip collections ↓

All*  •  Gambling*  •  Life*  •  Poker*  •  Various*

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Mike Caro

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Known as the “Mad Genius of Poker,” Mike Caro is generally regarded as today's foremost authority on poker strategy, psychology, and statistics. He is the founder of Mike Caro University of Poker, Gaming, and Life Strategy (MCU). See full bio → HERE.

4 thoughts on “MCU poker tip: Poker’s mathematical myth”

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  1. Poker as in life needs to be approached holistically, focusing too hard on one aspect blinkers you from other possibly profitable ideas. I personally just love the game and I cherish the competition, psychology and Maths both have a part to play when it comes to winning consistently…but knowing what makes people tick and then using that knowledge is worth its weight in gold. Fully agree with you Mike!

  2. I LOVE this! Absolutely. If you’ve got enough experience, these statistics and odds become second nature. You know when it’s time to raise, call or muck them.

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