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News talk 2014-01-11: Christie’s bridge scandal

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Poker1 news discussion

This news entry is repeated as it appeared on the Poker1 News page (in the main menu).

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Saturday → 

January

11

2014

Held over


Christie’s bridge scandal gets 44 times news coverage in two days that IRS scandal got in last six month
Media Research Center ↑

Mike Caro says:

News coverage by major media has grown so biased over the past two decades that it’s hard to find reliable sources. Of course, Media Research Center makes those leaning right much happier than those leaning left. You suspect that the organization, whose stated mission is to expose bias in major media, is guilty of bias itself. Still, that’s hard to prove without major examples of bias in favor of conservatives. Would those be exposed by MRC? We’ll never know, right?

About the Chris Christie scandal itself, Poker1 is preparing to put up odds of all likely candidates winning the 2016 presidency. Were Christie’s chances damaged? Yes, but only in a weird mathematical way. If it turns out that he didn’t know about staff efforts to dramatically reduce bridge traffic and inconvenience commuters as political retribution, then his swift and decisive actions after finding out might actually endear voters.

So, Christie’s chances don’t seem to fall much on the surface. But, wait! What if evidence points to him having known. Then he’s toast. So, the odds for Christie are now volatile. He might not be damaged much, but he might turn out to have been fatality damaged. Only unfolding events will determine the truth. There’s little middle ground in the mathematics for these odds.

Christie could still be harmed by not having taken emergency action to fix the traffic situation immediately, while it was occurring. But we don’t quite know the circumstances surrounding that yet.

In any case, we won’t be giving him much of a shot at becoming president, because — although he’d have a good chance if he won the Republican nomination — he is much less likely to be nominated than most pundits seem to suggest.

The main reason I included this story, however, has little to do with Christie and a lot to do with the sad state of major American news agencies. — MC




“Mad Genius” ego damage and the nature of poker
Biographical, Image, Motivation, Psychology
An unpredictable image can make a difference
ALL (newest first), General, Image, Manipulation, POKER, SPOTLIGHT, Strategy
Bad poker science and a disagreement
ALL (newest first), Image, Manipulation, POKER, Psychology, Strategy
Big profit from poker equity
Image, Manipulation, POKER, Strategy
Book (Caro on Gambling) 01. Plodders
Bankroll, Gambling, Image, Motivation
Brunson: Finding the right poker style for you
Entries by others, General, Image
Brunson: If you play tight, keep it secret
Entries by others, General, Image
Brunson: Letting opponents tie their own nooses
Entries by others, General, Image, Manipulation, Motivation, Strategy
Brunson: Pride and poverty
Entries by others, General, Image
Brunson: Proving your poker prowess takes time
Entries by others, Image, Manipulation, Other games
Brunson: When calling doesn’t make sense
Entries by others, Hold 'em, Image
Chip leverage: The poker myth that won’t die
Image, POKER, Strategy, Tournaments
Don’t “go quiet” when you have psychological control
Image, Manipulation, Strategy
Fast 2014-09-14: Belligerent poker opponents
ADDED FAST, ALL (newest first), Image, Manipulation, Psychology
Great mistakes in poker tells
Image, Tells
How I got 8-5 to call on the river in hold ’em
Hold 'em, Image, Manipulation, Psychology
How intimidation works and fails in poker
Image, Manipulation
How to avoid the poker disaster of going quiet
Image, Manipulation, SPOTLIGHT
Letting poker opponents make their own nooses
ALL (newest first), General, Image, Manipulation, POKER, Strategy
Lies told about psychology in poker
Image, Manipulation, SPOTLIGHT, Statistics
1 2 3 6

Everything is everywhere

Any Poker1 page takes you anyplace you want to go!

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Mike Caro

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Known as the “Mad Genius of Poker,” Mike Caro is generally regarded as today's foremost authority on poker strategy, psychology, and statistics. He is the founder of Mike Caro University of Poker, Gaming, and Life Strategy (MCU). See full bio → HERE.

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